The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. They've got that again in 2022. Corey Kluber is 36. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? NHL 2022-23 Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings. Comprehensive Major League Baseball news, scores, standings, fantasy games, rumors, and more Jose Altuve continues to hit, and the cast around around him continues to get younger. The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. 2022 MLB preseason predictions: World Series, MVP and Cy Young bets we're counting on this year. If that happens, Tampa Bay is in business. Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. 5 starter. Sign In. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. EX. We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. The bullpen, which was already one of the best last year, improved with the signing of Kenley Jansen to join Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and AJ Minter. Nov. 4, 2022. Losing Carlos Correa hurts, its why were not projecting the Astros to win the AL pennant, but theres a real gap between Houston and its competition in the division. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . Los Angeles Dodgers: +600. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. A complete list of this year's voters: . The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. I don't know why, though. The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. Instead, the club went 81-81 and missed the postseason, finishing 11 games behind the upstart Guardians. And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. The one thing missing is another quality outfielder to fill out the lineup. Tyler Stephenson finishes with 20+ home runs, 80+ runs, and 80+ RBIs. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . LAA Los Angeles Angels. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. Spring Training is in full swing, free agency is off the rails, and baseball is officially back. There were three last season. Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . The Los Angeles Dodgers might have lost the NL West in 2021, but theres no doubt this is the best team in the division entering the 2022 season. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. It should be a fourth consecutive last-place season for the Pirates, who hope Ke'Bryan Hayes bounces back and prospectOneil Cruz brings some excitement. They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. while Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez bring the kind of veteran bats any team needs when it wants to make a leap in the . Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. Major League Leaders . . If Byron Buxton is healthy, he's one of the games' brightest stars, but that continues to remain a big "if.". 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G . March 30, 2022. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. What is surprising, however, is that ZiPS also puts the Giants squarely in this race at 88-74. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. And during the postseason, that anything-can-happen dynamic only grows stronger, with MLB's new, expanded format only increasing the number of potential outcomes. Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. You can do it! Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. 0:00. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. CHW Chicago White Sox. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. But how does the model see it shaking out? 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Toronto Blue Jays. The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. Julio Rodriguez, who earned a spot on the MLB roster, can win Rookie of the year and make a significant 2022 impact. AL EAST. C'mon Rocks! To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. 9:55 am ET, MLB rumors: Dodgers, Yankees seek depth after injuries, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to miss WBC with knee injury, Kik Hernndez recounts on-field bathroom accident, Phillies top prospect Andrew Painter has tender elbow, Max Scherzer fools hitter with new pitch clock rules, Report: Padres looking to extend Juan Soto, Josh Hader, MLB win totals for every team, best bets on over-unders, Phillies top prospect Painter has elbow tenderness, Report: Padres looking to extend Soto, Hader, Report: Mets to use six-man rotation at times in 2023, Dodgers SS Gavin Lux tears ACL, will miss entire season. mlb preview 2022. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. AL Central predictions. Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! Three were on pace in whatever the 2020 season was. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: From now on, all these projections will update every morning to reflect the latest . March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. [ MORE: How to watch Premier League in USA] After the break for the 2022 World Cup, the Premier League . The NL West was incredibly loaded in 2021, with the Giants finishing with the best record in baseball and the Dodgers owning the second-best record in baseball. Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. Before long, Hayes will soon be joined on the left side of the infield by towering shortstop Oneil Cruz. But what the model really likes is the rotation. Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner are a promising young middle-infield combo, who should be big parts of the team's future. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . But ZiPS doesnt see it that way, and neither does PECOTA. This team is largely the same one that went on a 17-game winning streak at the end of the season to blaze past the Reds, Phillies and Padres to capture the second wild-card and sneak into the playoffs. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. Sticky standings Sticky standings. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Major League Baseball's 2022 season has arrived. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. Even over 162 games, surprises abound. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). Standings. The rotation could be in tatters behind Zack Wheeler. Four teams won at least 100 in 2019. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. Cactus League. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. Add them together with JT Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Jean Segura, and this is a deep lineup capable of doing plenty of damage. Heading into 2022, this division figures to be just as thrilling as the Padres continue to establish themselves as a threat in the league. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. 1:51. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. The moves bythe Marlinsmight not have been as splashy as the Mets or Phillies, but don't sleep on the additions they made this offseason. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. Scorched. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. The only six teams with greater than a 5 percent chance of reaching the World Series are the four leaders in the AL East and the White Sox and Astros. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. Let's start things off with a prediction about one of my favorite players to target in fantasy baseball drafts. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the brightest stars when he's healthy and Manny Machado gives him powerful protection in the lineup. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. CLE Cleveland Guardians. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. But there was actually a lot that went wrong with the Padres' pitching staff last season and they were still 67-49 through Aug. 10, a pace of 94 wins, before melting down the rest of the way. Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. New York Mets. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. 400. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? We also like Clevelands pitching. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. The reigning World Series winners emerge as the favorites to win their division, with New York and Philadelphia appearing as strong contenders for wild cards. section: | slug: mlb-win-totals-each-teams-2022-projection-plus-best-bets-on-over-unders-for-dodgers-cardinals-more | sport: baseball | route: article_single.us | PECOTA views the Bronx Bombers as heavy favorites in the AL East, with Toronto projected for roughly nine fewer wins. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. In a women's flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. The Raysare that team that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. They could match that in 2022. There is potential in this team to over-perform its projections. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. Rather astounding. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. 2023 Projected Standings. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. Put yourself out there. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. I was going to be choosing between the Red Sox and Rays and the Rays' number is four higher, so here we are. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. This is an admittedly risky venture. . Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. At least they have one of the best MLB lineups.