Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Please pass this post along. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A lovely day to you. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. On one try. Whoa. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Maybe that one would have been better. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Thats a ridiculously huge number. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Step 4. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. But lets make it longer. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Just go have some fucking fun! The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" But let's think about this some more. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Now things start getting interesting. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. On one try.. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Scripture says. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Then the probability of Mr. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Are they gross exaggerations? There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Thank you, Monsignor. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. You may think You say that to everyone!. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Now things start getting interesting. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Think of yourself as dead. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Why? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Dr. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Wowser. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Is that an African fly or a European one? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Those who are brave (foolish?) I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Hello there! That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Here it should be realize it is a quest work. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion.